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nephillymike
As some may remember, I'll tune in to the power rankings that statistically compute team strength numbers that predict how a team would do against another and add the traditional 3 point home field advantage and try to predict how we'll do going forward, or at least if we're favored or not.

It's strange this year. I've never seen anything like it. Most times, covers and sagarin only differ by a minor amount, but as of right now, covers is really down on the Birds, while Sagarin has us rated much higher.

So here's how each see us from here on out. F = favored, U = under dog, 3 points added for home field advantage.

It seems that Sagarin has us about a 5 - 6 pt better team than Covers. That's huge. AND a SIX game differential in final record!! Not sure why.


Game........Sagarin..........Covers
Rank............10th..............21st
@DET...........F 2.0............U 3.0
@WAS..........F 3.0............U 2.5
vs MIN..........F 1.0............U 7.5
@DAL...........U 0.5............U 6.5
@NYG...........F 1.5............U 4.0
vs. DAL.........F 5.5............U 0.5
vs WAS.........F 9.0.............F 3.5
vs. NYG.........F 7.5............F 2.0
@ SEA..........U 3.5............U 8.0
vs. GB...........F 2.5............U 3.0
vs. ATL..........F 6.0............F 2.5
@ BAL..........U 2.0............U 5.0
@ CIN...........U 0.5...........U 6.5
Pred Record...12-4.............6-10
Joegrane
Lane Johnson?

The 2015 Falcons? They got off to a hot start with their new coach then fizzled down the stretch, maybe as the NFL caught on.

Strength of Schedule?

QUOTE (nephillymike @ Oct 1 2016, 11:51 PM) *
As some may remember, I'll tune in to the power rankings that statistically compute team strength numbers that predict how a team would do against another and add the traditional 3 point home field advantage and try to predict how we'll do going forward, or at least if we're favored or not.

It's strange this year. I've never seen anything like it. Most times, covers and sagarin only differ by a minor amount, but as of right now, covers is really down on the Birds, while Sagarin has us rated much higher.

So here's how each see us from here on out. F = favored, U = under dog, 3 points added for home field advantage.

It seems that Sagarin has us about a 5 - 6 pt better team than Covers. That's huge. AND a SIX game differential in final record!! Not sure why.


Game........Sagarin..........Covers
Rank............10th..............21st
@DET...........F 2.0............U 3.0
@WAS..........F 3.0............U 2.5
vs MIN..........F 1.0............U 7.5
@DAL...........U 0.5............U 6.5
@NYG...........F 1.5............U 4.0
vs. DAL.........F 5.5............U 0.5
vs WAS.........F 9.0.............F 3.5
vs. NYG.........F 7.5............F 2.0
@ SEA..........U 3.5............U 8.0
vs. GB...........F 2.5............U 3.0
vs. ATL..........F 6.0............F 2.5
@ BAL..........U 2.0............U 5.0
@ CIN...........U 0.5...........U 6.5
Pred Record...12-4.............6-10

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