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nephillymike
So, what we have is a pissed of Tom Brady coming off an impressive loss at Denver, one which he has a right to have a bug up his ass after some calls in that game.

We have an Eagles team that flat out got embarrassed for two and a half games by some sub par competition.

We have turmoil all over this team with a line of Tin Men at Oz's curtain not seen in along time around these parts.

True, we have our starting QB returning, who had looked improved in the last 1 3/4 games before he got hurt. But is he really more than one good hit on that shoulder from being sidelined? And factor in the left OT, what are the chances he plays the entire game, and what does that do for the QB's game completion odds?

True we have a real good OT listed as questionable, and questionable definitely has described his game willingness and support of the HC as of late.

We still have our best offensive weapon sidelined with injuries for the 3rd week in a row.

Sure NE is hobbled, big time. But they always seem to next man up.

Sure NE had a Sunday night game 7 day game prep versus our ten day rest.

Sure there is the huge lead NE has vs. our struggle for survival.

In betting parlance, the line is telling me something.

When a line looks too good to be true, it normally is and Vegas is in for a big pay day. NE - 7.5 should be a stone cold mortal lock for the NE side. But when the line is telling you something, you go the other way. Even Vegas has bills to pay.

With Tom Brady, NE has only lost two in a row 4 times.

We have never intercepted Tom Brady.

The money line is NE -400, which in probability terms means we will win the game 20% of the time.

What if sports has the Eagles winning 25% of the time.

Historically, a 7.5 point dog wins the game 31% of the time.

So there you have it; 20-31% chance to win.

Lord knows we lost to a lot of teams over the last two years who had less odds than that versus us. Plenty of other NFL teams have done the improbable lately. Maybe it's our turn.

How do we do it?

1. Peters plays and is interested in doing so, and he helps keep Bradford or Sanchez clean.
2. Kelly uses the 10 days to draw up a ton of surprises.
3. We get a special teams TD
4. Brady doesn't finish the game.

If three of the four happen and the refs cooperate like they did in Denver, we'll win the game.

OUTRIGHT.

Rocko and Guido get their early Christmas gifts.

If not, admins, please erase this post.

PS, it won't sit well for Chip if we get embarrassed in Jeff's home town. He still has house in the area and hob knobs with the Bostonians and Vinyarders all the time, so Chip better have the boys ready.
JeeQ
Patriots are on their longest losing streak all season.. Advantage: Us laugh.gif
nd9kel
Bet the house on Philly
rumply
QUOTE (nephillymike @ Dec 5 2015, 11:15 PM) *
So, what we have is a pissed of Tom Brady coming off an impressive loss at Denver, one which he has a right to have a bug up his ass after some calls in that game.

We have an Eagles team that flat out got embarrassed for two and a half games by some sub par competition.

We have turmoil all over this team with a line of Tin Men at Oz's curtain not seen in along time around these parts.

True, we have our starting QB returning, who had looked improved in the last 1 3/4 games before he got hurt. But is he really more than one good hit on that shoulder from being sidelined? And factor in the left OT, what are the chances he plays the entire game, and what does that do for the QB's game completion odds?

True we have a real good OT listed as questionable, and questionable definitely has described his game willingness and support of the HC as of late.

We still have our best offensive weapon sidelined with injuries for the 3rd week in a row.

Sure NE is hobbled, big time. But they always seem to next man up.

Sure NE had a Sunday night game 7 day game prep versus our ten day rest.

Sure there is the huge lead NE has vs. our struggle for survival.

In betting parlance, the line is telling me something.

When a line looks too good to be true, it normally is and Vegas is in for a big pay day. NE - 7.5 should be a stone cold mortal lock for the NE side. But when the line is telling you something, you go the other way. Even Vegas has bills to pay.

With Tom Brady, NE has only lost two in a row 4 times.

We have never intercepted Tom Brady.

The money line is NE -400, which in probability terms means we will win the game 20% of the time.

What if sports has the Eagles winning 25% of the time.

Historically, a 7.5 point dog wins the game 31% of the time.

So there you have it; 20-31% chance to win.

Lord knows we lost to a lot of teams over the last two years who had less odds than that versus us. Plenty of other NFL teams have done the improbable lately. Maybe it's our turn.

How do we do it?

1. Peters plays and is interested in doing so, and he helps keep Bradford or Sanchez clean.
2. Kelly uses the 10 days to draw up a ton of surprises.
3. We get a special teams TD
4. Brady doesn't finish the game.

If three of the four happen and the refs cooperate like they did in Denver, we'll win the game.

OUTRIGHT.

Rocko and Guido get their early Christmas gifts.

If not, admins, please erase this post.

PS, it won't sit well for Chip if we get embarrassed in Jeff's home town. He still has house in the area and hob knobs with the Bostonians and Vinyarders all the time, so Chip better have the boys ready.



heads up post, hope you got some money on
nephillymike
Thanks Rumply.

Man, no love for the call on here?

Tough crowd.
mcnabbulous
I was impressed. Hopefully you made some scratch.
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