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> Odd stats matchups for this week vs DEN
Birdwatcher
post Nov 2 2017, 12:26 PM
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QUOTE (nephillymike @ Nov 1 2017, 11:18 PM) *
Using the matchups of the averages of our D vs their O and vice versa, here's how it looks for this week:

Expected Points we win 25.0 - 18.8
Expected Yards, they win 334-316
Yds per Rush Att, they win 4.1 - 3.6
Yds per Pass Att, we win 6.65 - 6.20
Passer Rating, we win 92.7 - 78.3
Turnovers, we win 0.95 to 2.05

So a team that is expected to out gain us by 18 yds is expected to lose by 6?

What gives?

Turnovers and red zone efficiency.

We are projected to win the turnover battle by 1.10 for the game. That turnover differential wins 70% of the games.

This DEN defense is #2 on FO. They are no joke.

We catch them at a great time; at home after a big divisional loss, short week, during a QB switch. These factors should be very favorable to us.

Eagles. 21
Denver 17

Survive an uncomfortable close win, rest up during the bye, and put the pot of Dallas hate on simmer.


Weren't you the same guy who claimed the numbers did not support the 13 point spread last week? Also, you left out the need for Big Red to do us a solid and hand Big D an L to further bury them in the standings.
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Joegrane
post Nov 2 2017, 12:58 PM
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Remember SF lost one or more O Lineman from an already weak and injured line.

The rain was going to mess up numbers

Finally you can't count on a pick 6.

QUOTE (Birdwatcher @ Nov 2 2017, 12:26 PM) *
Weren't you the same guy who claimed the numbers did not support the 13 point spread last week? Also, you left out the need for Big Red to do us a solid and hand Big D an L to further bury them in the standings.

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